10 stocks to watch in the week ahead
General Motors, the world's biggest automaker, tops an MSN Money list of recommended stocks. Here are StockScouter's best investment ideas.
The United States is once again the world's fastest-growing auto market, as sales moderate in China and slow to a crawl in Europe.
That's good news for General Motors (GM -1.54%, news), the largest of Detroit's three automakers, but it also presents a challenge. The company has recently reclaimed the top spot in global vehicle sales it lost to Toyota Motor (TM +0.18%, news) in 2008, but at home, GM is still trying to shake off the stigma of its 2009 bankruptcy and federal bailout.
Its initial public offering in November 2010 helped lift the company out of the government's shadow -- although the Treasury Department still owns 26% of the automaker and is reluctant to sell its remaining stake at a loss. GM shares have shed more than one-quarter of their value from the IPO price of $33.
GM and Ford Motor (F -0.82%, news) sold record numbers of cars in China last year, benefiting from post-natural-disaster production disruptions at their Japanese rivals. But growth in China has already begun slowing from the 32% increase in 2010, as authorities there raise borrowing costs to fight inflation and phase out consumer subsidies.
The U.S. market, meanwhile, recorded its second consecutive year of at least 10% growth in light-vehicle sales in 2011, to 12.8 million, according to research from Autodata. And 2012 is projected to be even stronger.
AutoNation (AN -0.84%, news), the nation's largest auto retailer, with 250 dealerships in 15 states, expects U.S. sales to continue to grow as financing becomes easier and motorists get fed up with driving dilapidated vehicles. The average passenger car or truck is nearly 11 years old, AutoNation CEO Mike Jackson told Bloomberg this week. "We're going to take another step in the recovery this year, and we're on a journey back to 15.5 to 16 million" vehicle sales by next year, he said.
AutoNation CEO on Rising Car Sales
The improved U.S. climate should help GM extend its momentum. It has been profitable for seven consecutive quarters, largely thanks to strong sales of new sport utility vehicles and small cars. Several of its product lines were suspended as GM was fighting for its survival in 2008.
The automaker required a $4 billion cash infusion from the Bush administration in late 2008, which allowed it to stay afloat until the Obama White House could manage a bankruptcy process and provide a $50 billion bailout.
The bailout remains a sensitive subject for GM and within a portion of the U.S. customer base. Divisions could intensify this year as the presidential election plays out. President Barack Obama and other Democrats have pointed to GM's re-emergence as proof that the company was worth saving. Some Republicans, including presidential contender Mitt Romney, have been critical of the government's role.
Around the time of the bailout, Romney penned the op-ed "Let Detroit Go Bankrupt," which appeared in The New York Times on Nov. 18, 2008. More recently, Romney has criticized Obama for allowing a restructuring of GM and Chrysler that put a portion of the companies in the hands of the United Auto Workers and other unions.
General Motors has a StockScouter rating of 8, meaning it is expected to significantly outperform the market over the next six months with average risk.
StockScouter top 10 for Jan. 6 | ||||
Company | Sector | Dividend yield | Forward P/E | Scouter score |
---|---|---|---|---|
General Motors (GM -1.54%, news) | Automotive | N/A | 6.4 | 8 |
Apple (AAPL -0.37%, news) | Personal technology | N/A | 10.6 | 10 |
Applied Materials (AMAT -2.54%, news) | Semiconductors | 2.7% | 9.6 | 10 |
CBS (CBS -1.18%, news) | Broadcasting | 1.4% | 12.3 | 10 |
JPMorgan Chase (JPM -2.52%, news) | Banking | 2.7% | 7.5 | 10 |
Medtronic (MDT -0.51%, news) | Implantable medical devices | 2.5% | 10.5 | 10 |
Teva Pharmaceutical Industries (TEVA +0.66%, news) | Generic drugs | 2.0% | 8.0 | 10 |
Wells Fargo (WFC 0.00%, news) | Banking | 1.6% | 9.3 | 10 |
American Express (AXP +0.22%, news) | Credit and travel services | 1.5% | 11.9 | 10 |
Chevron (CVX +1.07%, news) | Oil and natural gas | 3.1% | 8.1 | 10 |
StockScouter beats the market
At MSN Money, we think the StockScouter rating system is about as good as it gets when you're trying to decide where to invest. StockScouter looks for stocks whose business fundamentals, price behavior, valuation and stock-ownership characteristics appear to predict a rising price in the future, based on how those factors have influenced stock prices in the past.The system assigns each stock an expected six-month return and balances that return against the stock's expected volatility. Scouter rates stocks on a scale of 1 to 10. Scouter ratings can change daily. Ratings and data in the chart above were current as of this article's publication date.
In addition to the daily top 10 list described above, StockScouter is used by investment research firm Verus Analytics (previously known as the quantitative business unit of Gradient Analytics) to generate a monthly benchmark portfolio of stocks that, refreshed monthly, has outperformed the market since its inception in August 2001.
An investor who began in 2001 investing in each of the benchmark portfolio's top 10 stocks at the start of the month, selling them at the end of the month and then starting fresh with another 10 stocks, would have generated returns, before trading costs and taxes, of 701% through Dec. 31, 2011.
Writer Jon Markman, at the time a columnist for MSN Money, collaborated with company researchers on the tool. In this column, Markman suggested rolling over the top 10 stocks every six months to hold down trading costs, a strategy that might be a better fit for most investors; that would yield different results, which would vary based on your starting point.
Performance through Dec. 31, 2011 | ||||||
Full 50 position portfolio | ||||||
Index | 1 month | 3 month | 6 month | 12 month | From inception | Average annual return |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Portfolio | 0.6% | 11.8% | -2.0% | 2.1% | 351% | 16.4% |
Nasdaq | -0.6% | 7.9% | -6.1% | -1.8% | 28.5% | 4.8% |
S&P 500 | -0.9% | 11.20% | -4.80% | 0% | 3.8% | 1.7% |
DJIA | 1.4% | 12% | -1.6% | 5.5% | 16.1% | 2.7% |
Top 10 portfolio | ||||||
Index | 1 month | 3 month | 6 month | 12 month | From inception | Average annual return |
Portfolio | 1.2% | 8.8% | 1.3% | 6.4% | 701% | 19% |
Nasdaq | 0.6% | 7.9% | -6.1.% | -1.8% | 28.5% | 4.8% |
S&P 500 | -0.9% | 11.2% | -4.8% | 0% | 3.8% | 1.7% |
DJIA | 1.4% | 12% | -1.6% | 5.5% | 16.1% | 2.7% |
Portfolio inception: August 2001 |
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99Comments
3 hours ago
4 hours ago
oh great article ,age ant nothing but just a number. My boyfriend and i both think so..
He is almost 11year older than me .i met him via ~~~AgeLessMingle.C0M~~
a nice place for younger women and oldermen, or older women and younger men,
to interact with each other,maybe you wanna check it out or tell your friends
Sat 7:51 PM
Sat 11:37 AM
Citing the nearly $3.40-a-gallon average price of gas and the state of the economy, the senators said "now is not the time for new regulations that will raise the price of fuel even further Senators from both sides of the aisle are warning that looming EPA regulations on gasoline could impose billions of dollars in additional costs on the industry and end up adding up to 25 cents to every gallon of gas.
On the News this morning Obama announced a new regulation on gasoline removal of sulphites. rubbing salt in the wounds of families and business.Senators from both sides of the aisle are warning that looming EPA regulations on gasoline could impose billions of dollars in additional costs on the industry and end up adding up to 25 cents to every gallon of gas.
The senators, in a letter this week to EPA advisor urged the agency to back off ..
ps: After Obama administration poured 58 billion of tax payers money into the volt GM says if sales do not pick up by summer they may cancel the Volt.
ps: After Obama administration poured 58 billion of tax payers money into the volt GM says if sales do not pick up by summer they may cancel the Volt.
Mon 3:03 AM
You people can blame Bush or Obama all you want but the true culprit is lack of Unions. We have CEOs that are laying off workers and taking larger bonuses. They are forcing the workers to take pay cuts while they increase their yearly pay. These people know how to pay little to no income tax, and they also pay miniscule amounts of social security tax. When you lower wages of workers you cut the amount of social security tax incoming. If they want to make social security around forever they will raise the cap of taxed income to unlimited. We dont need more taxes we just need to start collecting some of the tax money from the greedy execs and we will be fine.
1/09/2012 1:44 AM
1/09/2012 1:21 AM
All I know is I invested all I got in silver when it was $47.
How about that all ya geniuses out there.
Can ya beat that?
I blame the 5 sisters, they're the reason for all this. I wish I could disown them, but how? They are cunning, sinister and oblique. They are such control freaks and they got me by the balls.
Yo Howdy, Don't get down on Tiger, he made Elin a rich bitch.
How about that all ya geniuses out there.
Can ya beat that?
I blame the 5 sisters, they're the reason for all this. I wish I could disown them, but how? They are cunning, sinister and oblique. They are such control freaks and they got me by the balls.
Yo Howdy, Don't get down on Tiger, he made Elin a rich bitch.
1/09/2012 12:15 AM
are you happy or dopey?
"15 trillion and counting keep Obama in there and we will be called Amerika"
the debt was below $2 trillion until reagan got started, then clinton handed off a balanced budget and $5 trillion in debt to the now fifth-worst ranked president of all time, w. w decided to spend, but don't tax, and ran the debt from $5 to $11 trillion before handing off the now spinning-out-of-control juggernaut to obama with the country and the world on the brink of financial apocalypse, and saddled him with TARP (too big to fail) as well.
both parties were at fault and the only sane period was under clinton due to normalized tax rate structures. but then you are not looking for facts are you? you want to use your own fakts.
a little retort from an independent ...
"15 trillion and counting keep Obama in there and we will be called Amerika"
the debt was below $2 trillion until reagan got started, then clinton handed off a balanced budget and $5 trillion in debt to the now fifth-worst ranked president of all time, w. w decided to spend, but don't tax, and ran the debt from $5 to $11 trillion before handing off the now spinning-out-of-control juggernaut to obama with the country and the world on the brink of financial apocalypse, and saddled him with TARP (too big to fail) as well.
both parties were at fault and the only sane period was under clinton due to normalized tax rate structures. but then you are not looking for facts are you? you want to use your own fakts.
a little retort from an independent ...
1/08/2012 11:42 PM
Ya gotta love all the gloom and doom commenters. So, their world is going to end for them because they were lazy enough to not improve their job skills before the economy tanked.
It's hard to be sympathetic to average people who have lost trust in the banks, industry and the government, simply because they weren't prepared to weather a layoff, workforce reduction, etc.
This is why there are a lot of people still working simply because they chose the right field to work in and they gained higher education.
It's hard to be sympathetic to average people who have lost trust in the banks, industry and the government, simply because they weren't prepared to weather a layoff, workforce reduction, etc.
This is why there are a lot of people still working simply because they chose the right field to work in and they gained higher education.
1/08/2012 9:19 PM
1/08/2012 9:15 PM
1/08/2012 9:12 PM
Oh stinray, Rell us all about the money you have made in the market???? Well Mr beans. CSX railroad is the cat;s MEOW it went to 96.50 split and then climbed to 78, THEN genius it just split again 3 for one and is up to 22 a share and climbing again so don't listen You don't get it but I do, I have lots of shares and this clown is crying all the way to the bank.. What a name stinray what someone have sting???
1/08/2012 9:09 PM
1/08/2012 9:02 PM
1/06/2012 11:26 PM
12/18/2011 11:25 PM
12/18/2011 10:54 PM
12/11/2011 11:12 PM
folk sure know yyour snuff- what has not been said will put us all in the poorer house
greenspan told us all beore theykicked him to the urve and roberto gonzales was fire so he would not tell currency is changing- sooner than you can bat an eye while the u s congress claims ownership of a railroad hey did not have a nickel in the quatere nor a quarter in the dollar- amtrak- the rails- questionable ethics and payouts-what a country to invest in with diminishing returns
- to be tortured and terrorized while they spend the money and smile as they watrch you squirm-
keep on paying attention - i told you i should run - my po folks campaign
we couldwin and runthe country better i tiold you i created the universal campaign - we did well until they poked so many holes in it - tearing away very fiber of the common wealth for all the peope - f@#!@! the rich and flamous
greenspan told us all beore theykicked him to the urve and roberto gonzales was fire so he would not tell currency is changing- sooner than you can bat an eye while the u s congress claims ownership of a railroad hey did not have a nickel in the quatere nor a quarter in the dollar- amtrak- the rails- questionable ethics and payouts-what a country to invest in with diminishing returns
- to be tortured and terrorized while they spend the money and smile as they watrch you squirm-
keep on paying attention - i told you i should run - my po folks campaign
we couldwin and runthe country better i tiold you i created the universal campaign - we did well until they poked so many holes in it - tearing away very fiber of the common wealth for all the peope - f@#!@! the rich and flamous
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Fundamental company data and historical chart data provided by Thomson Reuters (click for restrictions). Real-time quotes provided by BATS Exchange. Real-time index quotes and delayed quotes supplied by Interactive Data Real-Time Services. Fund summary, fund performance and dividend data provided by Morningstar Inc. Analyst recommendations provided by Zacks Investment Research. StockScouter data provided by Verus Analytics. IPO data provided by Hoover's Inc. Index membership data provided by SIX Telekurs.
Japanese stock price data provided by Nomura Research Institute Ltd.; quotes delayed 20 minutes. Canadian fund data provided by CANNEX Financial Exchanges Ltd.
Quotes are real-time for NASDAQ, NYSE and AMEX. See delay times for other exchanges.
Fundamental company data and historical chart data provided by Thomson Reuters (click for restrictions). Real-time quotes provided by BATS Exchange. Real-time index quotes and delayed quotes supplied by Interactive Data Real-Time Services. Fund summary, fund performance and dividend data provided by Morningstar Inc. Analyst recommendations provided by Zacks Investment Research. StockScouter data provided by Verus Analytics. IPO data provided by Hoover's Inc. Index membership data provided by SIX Telekurs.
Japanese stock price data provided by Nomura Research Institute Ltd.; quotes delayed 20 minutes. Canadian fund data provided by CANNEX Financial Exchanges Ltd.
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[BRIEFING.COM] Concerns about sovereign debt downgrades stirred sellers on Friday, but stocks were able to cut losses. That ensured the broad market a modest weekly gain of about 1%. Stocks slid to a loss in excess of 1% this morning. The descent came in response to headlines that downgrades could be in store for several eurozone countries. France actually confirmed that analysts at S&P made a single-notch downgrade to the country's credit rating. That decision contradicted word earlier this ... More
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